It's a bull market, until it isn't & 600 shows WHOOP (#600)

JSE Direct with Simon Brown

In this landmark 600th episode of JSE Direct, Simon Brown reflects on the podcast's journey from its beginnings as a radio show in 2008 to becoming a leading podcast for market insights. The episode covers a range of topics, from South Africa's local CPI and a strengthening Rand to the surprising twists in the gold market and a mixed bag of corporate earnings.

Local Inflation Data:

South Africa's CPI has come in better than expected at 4.6%, fueling speculation on whether the next rate cut by the MPC might be more aggressive than anticipated.

South Africa CPI | July 2024

Rand Strengthens:

The Rand has shown significant strength, dropping below 18 to the dollar, with Simon analyzing the contributing factors, including foreign investment in bonds and a weakening US dollar.

Bull Market Sentiment:

Simon reaffirms the current bull market, highlighting the JSE's all-time highs and advising listeners to stay invested while cautioning against the risks of sitting on the sidelines.

Top40 20 August 2024 | Weekly chart

Gold Market Rally:

Gold prices have surged above $2,500, driven by central banks' increased purchases and concerns about the US dollar's stability. Simon discusses the potential for further gains in the gold market.

Corporate Earnings Recap:

• Coronation Fund Managers: Special dividend announced but falls short of expectations.
• CMH*: Despite low liquidity, the stock continues to climb, reflecting the breadth of the bull market.
• Sasol: Disappointing results with no dividend payout, a situation Simon had previously predicted.
• Spur Corporation: Strong earnings, signaling improving economic conditions.

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

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