Every week, we discuss topical economic themes from a European perspective and provide perspective on key macro data news.
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Welcome to the Truth Over Harmony Podcast. These are real estate discussions with Dave Adams, a home inspector and licensed real estate agent in Greenville, SC. Speaking truth, tackling controversial topics, and opening the way for Truth over Harmony, Dave Adams, Owner and Founder of Pro-Tech Inspections, is an entrepreneur driving change and innovation in the home inspection and real estate industries. Join us as we explore the world of homes and real estate with our guests and local partners.
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Join Burty, Double, and Meech as they dive into Sports, Cannabis, video games and more. Sit down, have a laugh, and come join the Stoned Sports family.
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The Cannabis Corner is an open conversation about marijuana and where it is headed in America. As cannabis becomes more mainstream and yet is still misunderstood, The Cannabis Corner strives to bring truthful language to the subject. Hosted by author Joshua Braff and Medical Marijuana CareGiver Adam Titelbaum, this podcast sheds light on questions about medicinal marijuana as a healthier alternative to alcohol or pills. All questions are important. What’s a CBD? What edibles should I try for ...
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Fiscal Consolidation in Europe: How to Achieve It? With Roel Beetsma (University of Amsterdam)
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36:33
Join us this week as we tackle a pressing issue facing the Euro Area: fiscal consolidation. With debt-to-GDP ratios near historic highs in many economies, reducing deficits is critical—but not without risks to economic growth. Our special guest, Roel Beetsma, Professor of Macroeconomics at the University of Amsterdam, offers his insights on questio…
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Smells Like Money (ft. Tim Hyder) | Truth Over Harmony Ep 8
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35:48
Welcome to Episode 8 of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast!🎙️ In this episode, Blake meets with Tim Hyder from SCNspect to talk about Chimney Sweeps and Inspections, Well Tests, Sewer Scopes and Septic Tank Inspections!💩 They also talk about Tim’s definition of good food, his kids and their crazy antics, and what he would buy if he won the lottery.💰🤑 P…
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The Future of Europe's Auto Industry, with Valentin Mory (Natixis)
24:35
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24:35
Join us to dive into the challenges and transitions facing Europe’s car industry. Together with Valentin Mory, mobility expert from Natixis, we explore the shifting landscape of electric vehicles (EVs), China's lead in battery technology, and the future of internal combustion engines. Will Europe keep pace with China’s rapid electrification? Can ca…
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Europe's Growth and Productivity Slowdown Since 2009
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23:52
Have you ever wondered why Europe's economic growth seems stuck in slow motion? Join us as we explore the mystery of Europe's lagging economic growth. We break down the complex factors at play from sluggish investment to slow productivity growth, discuss the struggle to keep pace with the US tech boom, and Europe's shortcomings in fostering innovat…
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New Insights into the Gains from International Trade, with Andrei Levchenko (University of Michigan)
38:38
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38:38
Join Dirk Schumacher and Klaus Adam on "The Week That Was in Europe" as they welcome Professor Andrei Levchenko, a leading expert on international trade, to discuss new insights into the gains from international trade, the benefits & drawbacks of tariffs + export subsidies, and international technology transfer. Tune in to "The Week That Was in Eur…
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Review of the ECB Meeting - September 2024
12:23
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12:23
We provide our perspective on the ECB’s policy meeting: markets expected the ECB's rate cut, the real focus was on the path for interest rates going forward.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Germany's Economy: Stuck in Post-Pandemic Limbo?
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15:20
In this week's episode of The Week That Was in Europe, hosts Dirk Schumacher and Klaus Adam return from their summer break to analyze Germany's economic underperformance. Why has Europe’s largest economy stagnated post-pandemic, while its neighbors surge ahead? From sluggish consumer spending to declining investments and rising energy costs, they e…
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Cookies or Closings? | Truth Over Harmony Ep 7
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49:50
Welcome to Episode 7 of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast!🎙️ In this episode, Blake and Dave get back together to talk a little bit about Pro-Tech, and also make a big sewer scope announcement for the rest of this year!😮📢 Would you rather have cookies or grow your business?🍪 What’s Pro-Tech’s actual goal? Where is our office?🤔 Watch this episode to fi…
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Eating Bugs With Upstate Pest Pros (ft. Johnny Drake) | Truth Over Harmony Ep 6
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Welcome to Episode 6 of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast!🎙️ In this first episode in our new studio, Blake hears from guest Johnny Drake from Upstate Pest Pros. Johnny gives some insight on how to identify and prevent some of the most common home pests in the Upstate like roaches, wasps and bees.🪳🐝 Johnny also talks to Blake about the importance of m…
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The French Elections Unpacked, with Hadrien Camatte (Natixis)
28:31
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Today, we dive into the aftermath of the French parliamentary elections – a pivotal event that has captured the attention of financial markets and the broader public across Europe. To help us navigate the complexities of the outcome and the future implications, we have a special guest, Hadrien Camatte. Hadrien is an expert on the French economy at …
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The Impact of AI on Finance & Central Banks, with Hyun Shin (BIS)
56:25
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56:25
We dive into the transformative world of Artificial Intelligence and its impact on the financial sector and central banks. AI's rapid advancements and diverse applications are creating a veritable AI bonanza, reshaping the economy and financial systems globally. Join us as we explore these changes with Hyun Shin from the Bank for International Sett…
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Euro Area Inflation Expectations, with Ricardo Reis (London School of Economics)
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33:35
In today's epsiode, we dive deep into the economic dynamics shaping the Eurozone focusing on a critical issue: inflation expectations. We uncover what financial markets can reveal about the of future inflation and also discuss evidence coming from investor and household surveys. We're thrilled to have Ricardo Reis join us today. Ricardo is the A.W.…
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The Return of the State in International Lending, with Christoph Trebesch (Kiel Institute)
29:22
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29:22
In today's episode we dive into the complex world of state-based international lending. Recent years have seen a resurgence in cross-border state lending, highlighted by the significant financial support Ukraine has received from Western countries and China's growing role as a global lender. Additionally, central bank swap lines have become a commo…
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Decoding the European Election Results, with Sophia Russack (CEPS)
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24:58
Join us today as we delve into the results of the European elections and their far-reaching consequences. We have the pleasure of speaking with Sophia Russack from the Centre of European Policy Studies (CEPS) in Brussels. Sophia is an expert in European politics and policy making, making her the perfect guest to shed light on the European election …
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Review of the ECB Meeting: June 2024
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10:48
The ECB has cut rates by 0.25% in its June meeting for the first time in many years. This happened despite forecasts of inflation having been revised slightly upwards. We review the reasoning behing this decision and the outlook for rates going forward.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Europe's Single Market Under Stress – with Roman Arjona (European Commission)
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37:36
Join us for an insightful discussion with Roman Arjona, Chief Economist at the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs. We'll delve into the current state and future of Europe's Single Market, exploring how it compares to the US and the challenges it faces in a changing global trade landsca…
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Barbecue and Flex Seal (ft. Will Schumacher) | Truth Over Harmony Ep 5
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Welcome to Episode 5 of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast! In this episode, Blake hears from guest Will Schumacher from IES Roofing.🛠️ Will shares some of the wildest things that have happened to him in his line of work, but things really take a turn when they share their controversial takes on barbecue🍗, ice cream🍦 and tipping culture.💰 What do you t…
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The ECB Rate Outlook for June & Beyond
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16:56
Join us as we discuss the outlook for ECB policy rates for the upcoming June policy meeting and thereafter. We put perspective on recent Euro Area growth numbers, consumer spending dynamics, and the inflation outlook. While a June rate cut looks likely, uncertainty about policy rates beyond June appears substantial. Currently available data suggest…
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Fiscal Policy Challenges in Germany - with Thiess Buettner
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32:09
Join our interesting discussion with Prof. Thiess Buettner, Chairman of the Independent Advisory Board of the German Stability Council, about fiscal policy challenges in Germany.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Risks of a High Debt and High Interest Rate World - with Vitor Gaspar (IMF)
36:02
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36:02
Countries across Europe and the United States have witnessed a significant surge in government debt and interest rates in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic. Join us as we engage in a conversation with Vítor Gaspar, Director of the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department, about possible stability risks confronting government finances and the need to ma…
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The Neutral Interest Rate: A Moving Target
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18:31
The neutral rate is relevant for understaning the stance of monetary policy and for the fiscal outlook, as it determines the financing conditions for government debt. We explain how the neutral rate is defined, discuss its economic determinants and provide estimates of how it has changed since the pre-pandemic period. Increased government debt supp…
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Dark Clouds Over Euro Area Fiscal Policy
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22:20
We review the fiscal position of France, Germany, Italy and Spain, discuss the need for consolidation and how it could be implemented with minimal harm to output.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Review of the ECB Meeting: April 2024
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12:14
Provided wage growth moderates and inflation develops as expected, the ECB will start cutting interest rates in June. We discuss the uncertainties around this outlook and recent headwinds on the inflation front.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Find It Fix It Finish It (ft. Wes Zitnay) | Truth Over Harmony Ep 4
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37:31
Welcome to Episode 4 of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast! In this episode, Blake hears from guest Wes Zitnay from Upstate Structural Repair. Listen as Wes and Blake talk about how they find and fix residential structural problems like termites and foundations. Be sure to watch until the end to find out if Wes is a Clemson or USC fan! #protechinspecti…
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The EU’s Disastrous Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), with Harald Fadinger
38:22
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38:22
We discuss with Prof. Harald Fadinger (University of Mannheim) how the EU taxes the carbon content of imported goods via its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). We critically review the effectivenes of CBAM to prevent "carbon leakage", i.e., the international reallocation of production to locations with low carbon prices, and its effect on t…
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Overcoming Weak Growth in Germany, with Veronika Grimm
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42:19
We discuss with Veronika Grimm (German Council of Economic Experts) about lifting Germany's long-run growth potential. We focus on measures that increase labor supply, human capital formation and the role of long-run electricity prices.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Review of the ECB Meeting: March 2024
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11:36
The @ecb is getting close to cutting interest rates: it signaled following it March 7 Governing Council Meeting its readiness to start cutting rates in June, if everything goes according to plan.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Productivity Developments in France, with Alain Durré (France Stratégie)
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We talk about recent trends and future challenges for productivity growth in the French economy. Our guest, Alain Durré, is Head of the Macroeconomics and Europe Division at the Bureau of the French Prime Minister and Rapporteur Général of the French National Productivity Board.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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The Name is the Number (ft. Mike Wilson) | Truth Over Harmony Ep 3
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1:10:06
Welcome to Episode 3 of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast! In this episode, Blake hears from guest Mike Wilson from 1 Tom Plumber and Premier Restoration. Listen to learn from Mike and Blake about the most common plumbing problems, the real cost of a plumber’s visit, and even Mike’s go-to Firehouse Subs order! #protechinspections #protechhomeinspectio…
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How Much of the Decline in Inflation Is Due to ECB Policy?
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25:02
Euro Area inflation fell like a rock: from the peak of 10.6%, reached in October 2022, it dropped to levels below 3% a year later. We analyze how much of this decline can be attributed to policy tightening by the ECB. We find that the direct effect of ECB policy is likely small. ECB policy may have had important indirect effecta via anchoring infla…
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Optimal Government Debt Dynamics: Lessons from the Literature
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22:14
We present the main academic insights about how government debt should evolve over time, if the government seeks to maximize social welfare. We discuss (i) how to deal with positive/negative expenditure surprises, (ii) how refinancing risk, due to interest rate risk, impacts optimal government debt dynamics, and (iii) the optimal long-run level of …
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Critical Minerals for Europe: A Conversation With Bernard Dahdah
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36:42
We talk with Bernard Dadah (Head of Commodity Research, Natixis) about critical minerals. What are these? How big of market do they have? Who mines and refines them? What can the EU's Critical Raw Materials Act (CRMA) achieve?Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Macroeconomic Forecasting at the ECB, with Oscar Arce (Director General Economics)
48:38
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48:38
We discuss with the ECB's Director General for Economics Oscar Arce about the Euro Area's macroeconomic outlook, the ECB's past forecast errors, the way forecasts are produced at the ECB and the difficulties associated with producing macroeconomic projections. A true tour de force through the topic!Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Review of the ECB Meeting: January 2024
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10:53
We review the ECB's assessement of the economic situation & the outlook for policy rates going forward.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Is Germany the Sick Man of Europe?
21:46
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21:46
We take stock of Germany's recent underperformance relative to its European peers and analyze its sources. We identify (real) household income dynamics as one of the main drivers.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Transition (ft. Bryan Duffy) | Truth Over Harmony Ep 2
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1:08:22
Welcome to episode 2 of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast! In this episode, Dave hears from guest Bryan Duffy from Transition Electric Co. to give you a sneak peak into the world of electrical repair. Hear Bryan’s philosophy behind his business and brand, what sets his company apart from the competition, and just some of the crazy stories he has from …
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Review of the ECB Meeting: December 2023
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14:36
We review and critically discuss the decisions taken by the ECB after the suprisingly benign November inflation numbers.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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How Should Monetary Policy Deal With Uncertainty?
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23:12
We discuss how various forms of uncertainty affect the conduct of optimal monetary policy. We provide a summary of key insights from the academic literature, some of which are quite surprising. We explain how to make sense of them. We make reference to the following academic papers: Indicator variables for optimal policy, LEO Svensson, M Woodford -…
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Welcome to the very first episode of the Truth Over Harmony Podcast! In this episode, Dave shares his thoughts on the infamous lawsuit, and how realtors can persevere and overcome it. But not in the way you might think...Dave Adams; Pro-Tech Inspections által
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German Fiscal Policy after the Constitutional Court Ruling, with Lars Feld
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36:47
We discuss with Professor Lars Feld (Advisor to the German Finance Minister) about what led to the Constitutional Court Ruling on the Debt Brake, what it implies for German federal budget and the Green Transition going forward.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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The Eerie Strength of the Euro Area Labor Market
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13:43
Euro Area labour markets show astonishing resilience: unemployment rates are hovering around record lows despite serious adverse shocks having hit the Euro Area economy. We explore different explanation for this pheonmon and discuss whether it can last.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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The Reform of the European Electricity Market, with Andreas Loeschel
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40:53
In October 2023, the European Council agreed on a reform of the European electricity market. We shed light on what went wrong in electricity markets in the past & critically review the main elements of the reform, together with Professor Andreas Loeschel, Chair of Resource Economics and Sustainability at the Ruhr University, Bochum, and Chairman of…
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Technology Transfer to China: Forced or Incentivized?
27:49
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27:49
We discuss with Prof. Jean-Marie Meier (Wharton School) about technology transfer to China: (i) what coercive methods does China deploy to force a transfer?, (ii) how do Western CEOs' incentives contribute to technology transfer? Based on Jean-Marie's latest research finding, we provide surprising insights, in particular on the latter mechanism. Je…
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Review of the ECB Meeting: October 2023
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11:14
We discuss the decisions taken by the ECB Governing Council and provide perspective on them.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Europe in Search of a Geopolitical Strategy, with Guntram Wolff
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41:53
We discuss with Guntram Wolff, CEO of the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP), about the prospects for a European Geopolitical Strategy. What would a Geopolitical Strategy consist of? What could be its guiding principles? How could it be implemented?Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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Reform of Central Bank Liquidity Provision, with Tobias Linzert (ECB)
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31:01
We discuss with Tobias Linzert about central bank frameworks for liquidity provision, in particular, how they changed following the financial crisis and how they might evolve going forward. Tobias is Adviser and Analytical Coordinator at the ECB’s Directorate General Market Operations.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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What’s Behind the Sell-Off in Euro Area Bond Markets?
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17:57
We discuss the possible factors driving the recent strong increase in long-term government bond yields in the Euro Area. We disucss how monetary factors, fiscal developments and gobal factors have influenced bond yields dynamics.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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The Effects of Industrial Policy: What Do We Know? With Nathan Lane (Oxford University)
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34:44
Economists have a long tradition of opposing industrial policies measures, but advanced economies often use industrial policies to influence economic outcomes. We discuss with Professor Nathan Lane from Oxford University about what is known about the effects of industrial policies, when they work and when not.…
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Artifical Intelligence & the Future of Work, with Carl Benedikt Frey (Oxford University)
35:49
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35:49
Artificial Intelligence has made new inroads into areas of work that were reserved exclusively for humans: conversational interaction, pattern recognition & prediction, and writing & teaching. We discuss with Carl Benedikt Frey about the implications of AI technologies for labor market outcomes going forward. Carl Benedikt is the Dieter Schwarz Ass…
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Review of the September 2023 ECB Meeting
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13:59
We review the main decisions taken by the European Central Bank at its policy meeting on Sept. 14, 2023 & provide perspective on them.Klaus Adam and Dirk Schumacher által
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